Follow US


| 0 التعليقات ]


"عاصفة الحزم" .. هل ستتحوّل لحرب اقليمية ؟!

Ramallah - minimum home
  
International analysts said that the launch of Arab countries "storm packets" process led by Saudi Arabia against the Houthis in Yemen may become a proxy war with Shiite Iran, which supports the Houthis, and Saudi Arabia and other Sunni powers in the region, which supports Yemeni President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi.
In a report by Reuters news agency published the views of a number of political experts and economists, which warned that the war gradually expands to become a regional conflict, as well as their impact on the global economy if Saudi oil facilities came under attack.
He said John McCarthy, head of Australian Institute of International Affairs that the Saudi fears that Yemen has become an agent for Iran, and basically controlled the country is dominated by Saudi Arabia and important interests.
He added that Saudi Arabia look to achieve Iran's progress in Iraq, which finds itself under pressure from the state regards as the main rival for regional hegemony, "I would not be surprised if we see a ground support Saudis, at some point," he continued, "In the absence of Americans Saudis calculate that They have no choice but to strongly enter, and we will see a re-draw for the area. "
Turn Rodger Shanahan, an assistant professor and research fellow at the Institute of Lowe said, "I would be surprised if committed (the Saudis) any ground operation coverage, because it is a complex combination of community, and the last time stood where the Houthis least force did not perform wild forces well in particular."
For its part, Susan Dahlgren said visiting assistant professor of research at the Institute of the Middle East at the National University of Singapore that, the Saudis have to be more careful now, and not Atsrawa bombing operations, "it is necessary to accept the majority of the people of Yemen's military intervention."
Regional conflictAs for me Govou director of the Center for Middle East Studies of China Institute of International Studies has expressed his country's concern about the evolution of the situation in Yemen, adding that the war has gradually expands to become a regional conflict, "and this is worrying the Chinese government's greatest concern."
In turn, said Tony Nunan, risk manager of Mitsubishi Corporation in Tokyo that the geopolitical risks in the Middle East have become chronic.
For his part, warned the director Masaaki Soematso unit energy firm Newedge Japan brokerage in Tokyo, from the consequences of the attack if "Saudi oil facilities came under attack," it would be a significant impact.
Tom O'Sullivan founder Matthews Japan energy consulting firm that saw a "storm packets" will increase instability in the Middle East, warning of reprisal attacks by al-Qaeda and the Islamic State organization and Houthis Arabia.
The Norihiro Fujito investment analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, has focused on what the Iranian response, warning of "proxy war a real war, devouring the entire Middle East."
But Jang Ji Hyang director of the Middle East and North Africa Center at the Institute of Asan for Policy Studies in Seoul, ruled that Iran responded to Saudi Arabia process, "because they do not want to become a party maker problems, involvement in the conflict at a time when the nuclear deal remains pending."
Such as the bombing of the Gulf to Yemen last conducted an analysis of minimum home:
Donia home events outlined under international and regional variables and interviewed a political science professor at Al-Azhar University Professor Nagy syrup to review the new global power systems and the harbingers of a new world war
Syrup clearer minimum home cause the decline of US influence in international politics, citing the change of international power system and the emergence of new economic entities such as the Russian power and nuclear Iran and the Chinese economy, and the rival of the US decision to grab its dominance in the international decision-military and economic citing that extract Iran internationally decision on nuclear project American rapprochement to Iran.
Syrup pointed out that the shift at the international level reflects the US failure to maintain the same economic and military level in the international arena, and in the beginning it was during the Iraq-Kuwait war, the United States intervened in that period.
Syrup and confirmed that the emergence of the new international forces military and economic alliances weaker influence US decision, The rise of Iran is now a nuclear power, China and Russia economic power as a military force and the Turkish influence in the Arab world, have had a role in the decline of American hegemony over the UN resolution.
The end of the unipolar systemSyrup and the ills that the American system is no longer the dominant force after the last test them in Ukraine and Crimea and the presence of Russian challenge her as a military force and a hint of President Putin's nuclear force.
And the beginnings of a regional conflict, reduced syrup from regional conflict to reach reduce "global war" form that preceded her wars that took its character as a state-to-state, but now began Kalthalv US-led against extremist groups as "Daash," All the data now suggest that all these changes are harbingers of war, noting in his speech that the war has now begun Bmejryatea and fear to use internationally banned weapons the fact that these groups pose a threat to the international system and access to Europe and the United States fear of access to its territory.
And enter the United States in the "global war" being a superpower syrup pointed out that President Barack Obama's administration has given priority to the issues of Interior and the noon evident in the withdrawal of US troops from Iraq and Afghanistan and the lack of US intentions to intervene militarily in any of the countries that have been tense and the presence of Kdaash extremist groups and others, and this reflects the point of the American system in the non-participation of the wilderness in any foreign military intervention confrontations.
And on the Russian-Chinese alliance, noted that the drink of Russian military force can not cope with her American power alone, but when the economy meeting armed force and the balance of power and influence in the international arena is different, he said, referring to the Chinese Russian rapprochement in the recent period.
And the form of the expected conflict and weapons used:Explain syrup that the final form of the war can not be determined clearly the fact that weapons are now, technology is no longer the preserve of a world and became open to all those things
He explained that through international powers fear the arrival of internationally prohibited weapons to the hands Hamaat or extremist organizations may contribute to change the equation of international conflict, prompting the United States as a superpower from entering into an inevitable showdown with several parties, whether international or combined extremist groups.
Syrup and stressed that the law of war now differed, and governs it is the political behavior of the countries where the security dilemmas.

0 التعليقات

إرسال تعليق